Forecasting & Predictions

Aging curves, breakout candidates, and regression risk analysis

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#	Player	Age	Pos	Current OPS▼	+1Y	+2Y	+3Y	Aging Factor	Trend/Yr
1	Sam Green	28	1B	0.912	0.940	0.976	1.008	98.7%	+0.120
2	Carlos Wood	30	RF	0.888	0.861	0.871	0.877	95.5%	+0.072
3	Cody Cook	40	1B	0.878	0.571	0.545	0.516	67.5%	+0.043
4	Daniel Perez	25	LF	0.877	0.931	0.985	1.025	100.0%	+0.123
5	Phillip Hill	31	CF	0.864	0.808	0.804	0.797	93.6%	+0.043
6	Thomas Wood	35	LF	0.850	0.691	0.667	0.641	84.0%	+0.006
7	Juan Lopez	30	2B	0.836	0.792	0.784	0.774	95.5%	+0.025
8	Austin Jones	33	RF	0.835	0.753	0.757	0.758	89.2%	+0.080
9	Corey Perez	38	C	0.834	0.606	0.587	0.564	74.7%	+0.043
10	Nick Thomas	32	3B	0.833	0.747	0.729	0.710	91.5%	+0.010
11	Travis Lee	33	2B	0.831	0.717	0.691	0.663	89.2%	-0.011
12	Will Sanchez	35	SS	0.828	0.687	0.676	0.662	84.0%	+0.047
13	Clayton Baker	40	1B	0.825	0.518	0.478	0.437	67.5%	-0.027
14	Juan Jones	40	1B	0.824	0.533	0.506	0.477	67.5%	+0.033
15	Oscar King	33	3B	0.820	0.717	0.701	0.683	89.2%	+0.018
16	Javier Torres	32	3B	0.814	0.742	0.736	0.728	91.5%	+0.043
17	Blake Thompson	40	2B	0.813	0.523	0.494	0.464	67.5%	+0.022
18	Noah Cole	32	CF	0.811	0.734	0.723	0.711	91.5%	+0.029
19	Robert Allen	26	SS	0.808	0.839	0.859	0.875	100.0%	+0.077
20	Jeff Thompson	27	3B	0.808	0.807	0.805	0.800	100.0%	+0.025
21	Fernando Thompson	26	C	0.808	0.794	0.769	0.744	100.0%	-0.035
22	John Cox	31	3B	0.807	0.737	0.717	0.695	93.6%	-0.004
23	Nick Young	32	1B	0.807	0.734	0.727	0.718	91.5%	+0.039
24	Tim Murphy	37	SS	0.805	0.616	0.602	0.584	78.0%	+0.050
25	Jonathan Hill	38	CF	0.802	0.567	0.533	0.498	74.7%	-0.015

#	Player	Age	Pos	Current OPS▼	+1Y	+2Y	+3Y	Aging Factor	Trend/Yr
1	Sam Green	28	1B	0.912	0.940	0.976	1.008	98.7%	+0.120
2	Carlos Wood	30	RF	0.888	0.861	0.871	0.877	95.5%	+0.072
3	Cody Cook	40	1B	0.878	0.571	0.545	0.516	67.5%	+0.043
4	Daniel Perez	25	LF	0.877	0.931	0.985	1.025	100.0%	+0.123
5	Phillip Hill	31	CF	0.864	0.808	0.804	0.797	93.6%	+0.043
6	Thomas Wood	35	LF	0.850	0.691	0.667	0.641	84.0%	+0.006
7	Juan Lopez	30	2B	0.836	0.792	0.784	0.774	95.5%	+0.025
8	Austin Jones	33	RF	0.835	0.753	0.757	0.758	89.2%	+0.080
9	Corey Perez	38	C	0.834	0.606	0.587	0.564	74.7%	+0.043
10	Nick Thomas	32	3B	0.833	0.747	0.729	0.710	91.5%	+0.010
11	Travis Lee	33	2B	0.831	0.717	0.691	0.663	89.2%	-0.011
12	Will Sanchez	35	SS	0.828	0.687	0.676	0.662	84.0%	+0.047
13	Clayton Baker	40	1B	0.825	0.518	0.478	0.437	67.5%	-0.027
14	Juan Jones	40	1B	0.824	0.533	0.506	0.477	67.5%	+0.033
15	Oscar King	33	3B	0.820	0.717	0.701	0.683	89.2%	+0.018
16	Javier Torres	32	3B	0.814	0.742	0.736	0.728	91.5%	+0.043
17	Blake Thompson	40	2B	0.813	0.523	0.494	0.464	67.5%	+0.022
18	Noah Cole	32	CF	0.811	0.734	0.723	0.711	91.5%	+0.029
19	Robert Allen	26	SS	0.808	0.839	0.859	0.875	100.0%	+0.077
20	Jeff Thompson	27	3B	0.808	0.807	0.805	0.800	100.0%	+0.025
21	Fernando Thompson	26	C	0.808	0.794	0.769	0.744	100.0%	-0.035
22	John Cox	31	3B	0.807	0.737	0.717	0.695	93.6%	-0.004
23	Nick Young	32	1B	0.807	0.734	0.727	0.718	91.5%	+0.039
24	Tim Murphy	37	SS	0.805	0.616	0.602	0.584	78.0%	+0.050
25	Jonathan Hill	38	CF	0.802	0.567	0.533	0.498	74.7%	-0.015